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About MarketPsych

MarketPsych LLC is a leader in behavioral finance, applying the competitive advantages from modern psychology into finance through data, research, and consulting.

DATA
World's most comprehensive sentiment data produced in partnership with Thomson Reuters
RESEARCH
Predictive analytics underlying economic research, trading strategies, and investment recommendations
CONSULTING
Best-in-class coaching for financial advisors, traders and investors

Latest News

February 03, 2016

PUBLIC TALK:  Dr. Peterson is presenting "The Sentimental Markets Hypothesis" in Los Angeles on March 16, 2016.

January 29, 2016

WEBINAR (Rescheduled): See the latest research as Dr. Peterson presents "The Sentimental Markets Hypothesis" for Asia-based investors on February 25th, 2016 at 1pm Singapore Time.

January 28, 2016

We're excited to announce that our new book, "Trading on Sentiment:  The Power of Minds Over Markets" will be published in March 2016!  Using the latest research, the book describes how media sentiment predictably drives prices in global markets, from milliseconds to years.  It's an essential read for serious investors.

Recent Press

January 24, 2016

Follow the Twitter feed to fat returns -- Attracta Mooney Financial Times

December 07, 2015

Why an Old Scam Keeps Landing in Your Inbox -- Daniel Huang Wall Street Journal

October 01, 2015

Understanding Bubbles -- Richard Peterson EXCHANGE MAGAZINE: Thomson Reuters


January 31, 2016

Oil Price Patterns and Investor Reactions

Daniel Plainview (played by Daniel Day Lewis): Are you envious? Do you get envious?
Henry Brands: I don't think so. No.
Daniel Plainview: I have a competition in me. I want no one else to succeed. I hate most people.
Henry Brands: That part of me is gone... working and not succeeding- all my failures has left me... I just don't... care.
~ There Will be Blood (2007)

In general, statistical analysis of price patterns demonstrates the existence of two opposite sentiment-based patterns in financial prices: overreaction (e.g., panic bottoms and blow-off tops) and underreaction (e.g., trends). The concepts of underreaction and overreaction refer not only to patterns of prices but also to the collective investor reactions to information that fuel such patterns.  

As most of our readers are aware, in partnership with Thomson Reuters MarketPsych derives and distributes the Thomson Reuters MarketPsych Indices (TRMI), representing a real-time quantification of emotional and macroeconomic references in the media to 8,000 companies, 52 stock indexes, 32 currencies, 35 commodities, and 130 countries. When the sentiments extracted from such text are statistically analyzed alongside historical price data, insights emerge into how such information moves crowds of investors and prices themselves.  Oil is one of the more sentiment-driven asset, based on our testing.

continue reading...

World Markets

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Econunc Govinst
United States -0.9%
United Kingdom -1.1%
Germany -5.7%
Japan -5.0%
China -13.3%
India -1.3%

updated 2016-02-07

Currencies

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Prcfrc Volatil
US Dollar -2.7%
Euro +2.7%
Brazilian Real +3.7%
Japanese Yen +0.8%

updated 2016-02-07

Commodities

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Prodvol Cnsmvol
Crude Oil -6.8%
Natural Gas -16.5%
Gold +5.5%
Corn +2.5%

updated 2016-02-07

US Sectors

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Innovtn Earnfct
Technology -1.5%
Energy -0.2%
Utilities +8.0%
Financials -5.2%
Industrials +0.6%

updated 2016-02-07

US Large Cap

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Mktrisk Fundmstr
Apple Inc -2.5%
Bank of America Corp -14.8%
General Electric Co +0.3%
JPMorgan Chase & Co -2.0%
Microsoft Corp -4.1%
Wal-Mart Stores Inc +5.4%

updated 2016-02-07


Countries Top Lists

- (30 day data)

Sentiment
Highest Lowest
Singapore Brazil
Canada Russia
Netherlands Hong Kong
Denmark Turkey
Philippines Israel
Stress
Highest Lowest
Turkey Indonesia
Russia Italy
Brazil Singapore
Saudi Arabia Mexico
Sweden India

updated 2016-02-07

Currencies Top Lists

- (30 day data)

Gloom
Highest Lowest
Russian Ruble Norwegian Krone
Mexican Peso Swedish Krona
Brazilian Real Iranian Rial
Canadian Dollar Israeli Shekel
Egyptian Pound South Korean Won
Currency Peg Instability
Highest Lowest
United Arab Emirates Dirham Hong Kong Dollar
Russian Ruble Thai Baht
Argentine Peso Indonesian Rupiah
Chinese Yuan Renminbi Australian Dollar
US Dollar Euro

updated 2016-02-07

Commodities Top Lists

- (30 day data)

Relative Buzz
Highest Lowest
Crude Oil Palladium
Wheat Orange Juice
Cattle Heating Oil
Corn Platinum
Gold Hogs
Violence
Highest Lowest
Cattle Palladium
Hogs Orange Juice
Platinum Heating Oil
Coffee Crude Oil
Rice Soybeans

updated 2016-02-07

Equities Top Lists

- (30 day data)

Relative Buzz
Highest Lowest
Accenture PLC Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings
Seagate Technology PLC Hudson City Bancorp Inc
Facebook Inc TripAdvisor Inc
Ingersoll-Rand PLC ACE Ltd
Tyco International Ltd FLIR Systems Inc
Anger
Highest Lowest
Allstate Corp Murphy Oil Corp
McKesson Corp Discovery Communications Inc
News Corp Campbell Soup Co
Phillips 66 LyondellBasell Industries NV
Clorox Co Kansas City Southern

updated 2016-02-07