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About MarketPsych

MarketPsych LLC is a leader in behavioral finance, applying the competitive advantages from modern psychology into finance through data, research, and consulting.

DATA
World's most comprehensive sentiment data produced in partnership with Thomson Reuters
RESEARCH
Predictive analytics underlying economic research, trading strategies, and investment recommendations
CONSULTING
Best-in-class coaching for financial advisors, traders and investors

Latest News

April 16, 2014

MarketPsych's quant visionary CJ Liu is presenting a free public talk "The Roles of Emotions, Biases and Information Flows in Investment Decisions" alongside the Starmine group.  Click the city name below to register to attend the event page (for Tokyo meetings, please contact us directly): 

April 07, 2014

The recording of our March 19th webinar with Opticom on the "Sentimental Market Hypothesis" is now available for viewing.

April 01, 2014

Dr. Peterson is speaking for the Millburn, NJ AAII on Tuesday evening April 8th.

Recent Press

April 14, 2014

(Polish) Nowcasting, czyli przewidywanie teraźniejszości -- Anna Skopowska SII

March 30, 2014

Shut up already! It's not 1929 -- Chuck Jafffe MarketWatch

March 08, 2014

Are Small Investors a Sell Signal? -- Joe Light Wall Street Journal


April 06, 2014

How Will We Know When the Music Stops?

When the music stops, in terms of liquidity, things will be complicated. But as long as the music is playing, you’ve got to get up and dance. We’re still dancing.
~ Chuck Prince, then CEO of Citigroup, in an interview with the Financial Times published July 10, 2007

At a party last weekend, I sat for a chat with a few of the guys.  The conversation turned to careers, and one man explained, "I've got a great new job with a startup.  I'm based in Denver now, flying all over for meetings.  The start-up is 15 people, but we could easily be at 150 in a year."  He went on to describe what sounded like a very exciting job, but after 5 minutes I realized it wasn't clear what he did for a living, nor did I understand the startup - neither its name, line of business, nor his role in the company. 

The conversation was stimulating, but I began to wonder if this conversation was evidence of a bubble.  I was reminded me of the shoeshine boy offering stock tips before the stock market crash of 1929. 

As we discussed in this past newsletter, bubbles create - and destroy - immense wealth. And as noted here, it is vitally important not to lose the wealth we gain during a bubble.  As a result, spotting bubbles and timing their demise is a key discipline to growing and maintaining wealth.

Despite the negative returns in bank prop trading and hedge funds this year, there is finally a party on Wall Street.  It took several years post-crisis for stock day-traders (i.e. the investing equivalents of underage drinkers) to emerge.  But here they are, enjoying massive volatility (mostly positive) in electric vehicles, biotechs, 3-D printing, and other high-flying stock groups.

Today's newsletter addresses the question - "Are we in an equities bubble?", and if so when should we exit.  It goes on to offer a risk management checklist to keep you grounded when your investments are performing well.

continue reading...

World Markets

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment EconCft GvtAngr
United States +0.6%
United Kingdom +1.0%
Germany +0.7%
Japan +2.1%
China +2.4%
India +4.0%

updated 2014-04-19

Currencies

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment MktFcst CaryTrd
US Dollar +0.1%
Euro -0.1%
Brazilian Real +4.4%
Japanese Yen -0.1%

updated 2014-04-19

Commodities

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment ProdVol CnsmVol
Crude Oil +4.9%
Natural Gas +9.9%
Gold -3.2%
Corn +3.3%

updated 2014-04-19

US Sectors

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Innovat EarnExp
Technology -1.6%
Energy +6.6%
Utilities +4.4%
Financials -2.4%
Industrials +2.1%

updated 2014-04-19

US Large Cap

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment MktRisk FundStr
Apple -1.5%
Bank of America -8.0%
General Electric Co +4.6%
JP Morgan Chase -8.2%
Microsoft -0.4%
Wal-Mart Stores +2.0%

updated 2014-04-19


Countries Top Lists

- (30 day data)

CreditEasyVsTight
Highest Lowest
Singapore Denmark
Saudi Arabia Ireland
Netherlands Italy
Canada Sweden
United States South Korea
RegimeChange
Highest Lowest
Indonesia Italy
Israel Turkey
Denmark Singapore
Russia Australia
Saudi Arabia Belgium

updated 2014-04-19

Currencies Top Lists

- (30 day data)

Optimism
Highest Lowest
Turkish Lira Russian Ruble
Norwegian Krone Swedish Krona
Indian Rupee Brazilian Real
Singapore Dollar Swiss Franc
British Pound Indonesian Rupiah
PriceForecast
Highest Lowest
Turkish Lira Swedish Krona
Norwegian Krone Egyptian Pound
Malaysian Ringgit Russian Ruble
Singapore Dollar South African Rand
Thai Baht Indonesian Rupiah

updated 2014-04-19

Commodities Top Lists

- (30 day data)

Uncertainty
Highest Lowest
Orange Juice Heating Oil
Coffee Hogs
Corn Palladium
Natural Gas Platinum
Wheat Cattle
Conflict
Highest Lowest
Platinum Heating Oil
Rice Hogs
Cattle Orange Juice
Palladium Soybeans
Natural Gas Coffee

updated 2014-04-19

Equities Top Lists

- (30 day data)

Volatility
Highest Lowest
Delphi Automotive Forest Lab
IHS Inc. Invesco Ltd
Brocade Comms American Water Works
Zebra Technologies Fortune Brands Home & Security
Fairchild Semiconductor Int'l Genworth Financial
Trust
Highest Lowest
Grace (WR) Allied World Assurance Co. Hol
MFA Financial Inc REIT Bally Technologies
On Semiconductor General Motors
Alliance Data Systems Cp Lexmark International
Pepco Holdgs Mcdonalds

updated 2014-04-19