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About MarketPsych

MarketPsych LLC is a leader in behavioral finance, applying the competitive advantages from modern psychology into finance through data, research, and consulting.

DATA
World's most comprehensive sentiment data produced in partnership with Thomson Reuters
RESEARCH
Predictive analytics underlying economic research, trading strategies, and investment recommendations
CONSULTING
Best-in-class coaching for financial advisors, traders and investors

Latest News

February 03, 2016

PUBLIC TALK:  Dr. Peterson is presenting "The Sentimental Markets Hypothesis" in Los Angeles on March 16, 2016.

January 29, 2016

WEBINAR (Rescheduled): See the latest research as Dr. Peterson presents "The Sentimental Markets Hypothesis" for Asia-based investors on February 25th, 2016 at 1pm Singapore Time.

January 28, 2016

We're excited to announce that our new book, "Trading on Sentiment:  The Power of Minds Over Markets" will be published in March 2016!  Using the latest research, the book describes how media sentiment predictably drives prices in global markets, from milliseconds to years.  It's an essential read for serious investors.

Recent Press

January 24, 2016

Follow the Twitter feed to fat returns -- Attracta Mooney Financial Times

December 07, 2015

Why an Old Scam Keeps Landing in Your Inbox -- Daniel Huang Wall Street Journal

October 01, 2015

Understanding Bubbles -- Richard Peterson EXCHANGE MAGAZINE: Thomson Reuters


January 31, 2016

Oil Price Patterns and Investor Reactions

Daniel Plainview (played by Daniel Day Lewis): Are you envious? Do you get envious?
Henry Brands: I don't think so. No.
Daniel Plainview: I have a competition in me. I want no one else to succeed. I hate most people.
Henry Brands: That part of me is gone... working and not succeeding- all my failures has left me... I just don't... care.
~ There Will be Blood (2007)

In general, statistical analysis of price patterns demonstrates the existence of two opposite sentiment-based patterns in financial prices: overreaction (e.g., panic bottoms and blow-off tops) and underreaction (e.g., trends). The concepts of underreaction and overreaction refer not only to patterns of prices but also to the collective investor reactions to information that fuel such patterns.  

As most of our readers are aware, in partnership with Thomson Reuters MarketPsych derives and distributes the Thomson Reuters MarketPsych Indices (TRMI), representing a real-time quantification of emotional and macroeconomic references in the media to 8,000 companies, 52 stock indexes, 32 currencies, 35 commodities, and 130 countries. When the sentiments extracted from such text are statistically analyzed alongside historical price data, insights emerge into how such information moves crowds of investors and prices themselves.  Oil is one of the more sentiment-driven asset, based on our testing.

continue reading...

World Markets

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Econunc Govinst
United States -1.9%
United Kingdom -1.8%
Germany -7.0%
Japan -5.3%
China -11.6%
India -0.9%

updated 2016-02-05

Currencies

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Prcfrc Volatil
US Dollar -2.5%
Euro +2.5%
Brazilian Real +3.0%
Japanese Yen +0.0%

updated 2016-02-05

Commodities

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Prodvol Cnsmvol
Crude Oil -4.7%
Natural Gas -17.2%
Gold +4.5%
Corn +4.4%

updated 2016-02-05

US Sectors

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Innovtn Earnfct
Technology +0.6%
Energy +0.9%
Utilities +7.6%
Financials -5.4%
Industrials +0.6%

updated 2016-02-05

US Large Cap

- (30 day data)

Price Buzz Sntment Mktrisk Fundmstr
Apple Inc -2.0%
Bank of America Corp -16.5%
General Electric Co -1.5%
JPMorgan Chase & Co -4.2%
Microsoft Corp -3.9%
Wal-Mart Stores Inc +3.0%

updated 2016-02-05


Countries Top Lists

- (30 day data)

Consumer Sentiment
Highest Lowest
Denmark South Africa
Norway Italy
Ireland Israel
Singapore Hong Kong
Switzerland Brazil
Financial System Instability
Highest Lowest
China Italy
Japan Belgium
Norway Spain
South Korea Hong Kong
United Kingdom Indonesia

updated 2016-02-05

Currencies Top Lists

- (30 day data)

Buzz
Highest Lowest
Chinese Yuan Renminbi United Arab Emirates Dirham
US Dollar Swedish Krona
Euro Iranian Rial
South African Rand Norwegian Krone
Canadian Dollar Egyptian Pound
Uncertainty
Highest Lowest
British Pound Iranian Rial
Turkish Lira Israeli Shekel
Canadian Dollar Egyptian Pound
Euro Swedish Krona
Australian Dollar Indonesian Rupiah

updated 2016-02-05

Commodities Top Lists

- (30 day data)

Long Short Forecast
Highest Lowest
Hogs Rice
Wheat Crude Oil
Soybeans Platinum
Corn Heating Oil
Gold Copper
Price Forecast
Highest Lowest
Hogs Copper
Cattle Heating Oil
Coffee Natural Gas
Corn Palladium
Wheat Crude Oil

updated 2016-02-05

Equities Top Lists

- (30 day data)

Time Urgency
Highest Lowest
Robert Half Equifax Inc
Xilinx Inc XL Group PLC
Rockwell Collins Inc Eastman Chemical Co
EMC Corp Johnson Controls Inc
Verisign Inc Kohl's Corp
Emotion vs Fact
Highest Lowest
Ryder System Inc Ball Corp
Accenture PLC Cincinnati Financial Corp
Wyndham Worldwide Corp DTE Energy Co
Harris Corp Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings
Carnival Corp ACE Ltd

updated 2016-02-05